Spring forecast in Croatia: What to expect ahead

Zadar

After a mild winter with temperatures above average, many in Croatia are wondering: will spring be warmer than usual?

Meteorologist Zoran Vakula analysed February’s unusual warmth, describing it as milder than normal but not record-breaking. He also revealed what is in store for spring. 

This February was colder than last year, but only because 2024 was exceptionally warm.

The average monthly temperature was near or slightly above normal, with southern Croatia recording 1–2°C above average, HRT reported.

No extreme temperatures were recorded in February. Zagreb, Osijek, and Gospić had a cooler winter than the last five years.

Meanwhile, Rijeka, Split, and Dubrovnik recorded their 5th or 6th warmest winter in history.

Will Spring Be Warmer Than Usual?

According to most long-term forecasts, which are fairly consistent, it’s highly unlikely that we’ll see prolonged periods of severe cold or significant drops below average air temperatures in the coming months.

In fact, there’s an increased chance of noticeably higher-than-average spring air temperatures across much of Croatia.

Of course, this doesn’t rule out the occasional cooler spell. After all, in the next few days, inland Croatia should brace for chilly mornings and sub-zero temperatures, though daytime highs are expected to rise noticeably.

Forecasts for total seasonal rainfall, and especially monthly amounts, are less reliable than temperature predictions and don’t suggest any major deviation from the norm.

Still, it wouldn’t be surprising if, in an atmosphere that’s likely still overheated, we see localised bursts of heavier rainfall over short periods.